To put it another way, does additional skill do nothing to increase Drain potency?
First, I supposed that a maximum Drain value could be achieved with a minimum dark magic skill of 300 (or somewhere around 300), and that 25 additional skill would therefore not change the average potency of Drain. Data were collected in the usual manner (taking care not to cast Drain with Dark weather in effect; see previous posts for more details on "experimental procedure"). All other factors affecting potency and or accuracy were held fixed for both samples. I obtained the following results:
The maximum Drain observed given 300 dark skill was 319 and the maximum observed given 325 dark skill was 318. Also note that there were more "obvious" resists under 300 skill than under 325.Considering the data as a whole, does 25 additional dark magic skill really have no effect on Drain potency? Noting the lack of difference in maximum Drain values should be enough for most (and it is for me), but let us also consider a way to apply statistics.
First, we can treat this data as though we were doing equivalence testing, so we need to decide what average difference would be considered a sign that there is a difference in Drain potency.
Recall that last time, I observed that, given 269 dark magic skill, I observed a maximum Drain of 288. Here, I observed a maximum Drain of 319 given 300 dark magic skill. Does one point of additional skill really increase the maximum (and minimum) Drain by 1 HP? Who knows, but suppose it were the case. Then 25 additional skill would have increased the maximum (and average) Drain by 25 HP. Let us then consider any observed difference in averages between 0 and 25 to be the result of chance, provided that there really is no difference in potency. Of course, there are some observations that are obviously resists, so let us also use the crude cutoff that any values below 150 be excluded from the analysis.
By the logic of an equivalence test ("two one-sided tests"), a 90% confidence interval for the difference in average potency between 325 skill and 300 skill is (-7.003157, 19.665328). This confidence interval is completely contained in the interval [-25, 25], so from the standpoint of statistical significance one can say that 325 skill is equivalent to 300 skill as far as average potency is concerned.
Conclusions
There appears to be no difference in Drain potency between 300 dark magic skill and 325 dark magic skill, holding all other relevant factors fixed. Additional dark magic skill still appears to affect Drain accuracy beyond 300 dark magic skill, however. Drain potency could cap at 300 dark magic skill (holding other factors fixed).Personally, these findings devalue somewhat my dark skill equipment that is devoted solely to Drain or Aspir, of which there are three pieces. Certain pieces such as Sorcerer's gloves and Wizard's tonban still provide large boosts to accuracy (at least it is expected).
401 HP drain from puddings believes otherwise.
ReplyDeleteIf we assume that Drain/Aspir also are affected by the +25% bonus, you'd find that 319 * 1.25 = 399.75. Very close to 401.
ReplyDeleteDerp, derp. Does the phrase "holding other factors fixed" mean anything to you?
ReplyDeleteTo be fair, I didn't actually say (in this post) I did NOT use an elemental staff, but even if I did, that would be a factor held fixed.
Yeah, like any non-comatose BLM would actually get hit to have the opportunity to observe a 401 Drain on puddings ever.
I will note Zvahl Fortalices may not even be a "representative" target as far as the actual magnitude of HP drained is concerned... but again, a factor held fixed, like non-Darksdaay and non-Dark weather.
ReplyDelete